The year of the fire horse: the 60-year cycle that returns in 2026
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The year of the fire horse: the 60-year cycle that returns in 2026

Lic. Patricio Espinoza, MBA.Lic. Patricio Espinoza, MBA.
10 min read

Every 60 years, the Chinese zodiac completes its rarest alignment. Twelve animals and five elements spin in parallel cycles until, at a precise point in time, they meet again in the same configuration. That point has just arrived. February 17, 2026 marks the beginning of the year of the fire horse (丙午, bǐng wǔ), a combination that hasn't manifested since 1966.

This is not just another year of the horse. Not just another fire element year. It is the convergence of both: the animal whose fixed element is already fire receiving the additional charge of fire as the year's element. Double fire. The most intense combination in the oldest continuously used astrological system in the world.

This article is not a horoscope or a list of predictions by sign. It is a document about what the fire horse is, how the cycle that produces it works, what happened the last time it appeared, and why some traditions consider this kind of temporal marker worthy of attention.

The 60-year cycle: how it works

The Chinese calendar does not measure time in a straight line. It measures it in spirals. Its system combines two cycles that rotate simultaneously: the ten Heavenly Stems (天干, tiāngān) and the twelve Earthly Branches (地支, dìzhī). The Stems represent the five elements (wood, fire, earth, metal, water) in their yin and yang forms. The Branches correspond to the twelve zodiac animals.

Each year receives a name composed of one Stem and one Branch: an element and an animal. The first combination is always jiǎ zǐ (yang wood rat). The next, yǐ chǒu (yin wood ox). And so they continue, advancing at different speeds, until all 60 possible combinations are exhausted before returning to the start. This system, known as the sexagenary cycle, has over 2,700 years of documented use, dating back to the oracle bones of the Shang Dynasty.

The horse is the seventh sign of the Earthly Branches. Its nature is yang, active, expansive. Its fixed element is fire. When the Heavenly Stems cycle also assigns yang fire to that year (years ending in 6), the combination bǐng wǔ is produced: fire upon fire, yang upon yang. It is position 43 of the sexagenary cycle. It does not repeat until all 60 combinations complete their turn.

The mathematics of the cycle: 12 animals × 5 elements = 60 unique combinations. But there is an additional rule: yang stems only pair with yang branches, and yin only with yin. This eliminates half of the theoretical combinations (120) and produces exactly 60, the least common multiple of 10 and 12. It is not arbitrary. It is a system of cosmological gears designed with mathematical precision millennia ago.

What the fire horse represents

In Chinese cosmology, the horse symbolizes freedom, independence, communication, and passion. It is the animal that does not tolerate restraint. When it receives the charge of the fire element in its yang form, its qualities are amplified: passion, courage, creativity, visibility, swift action. Tradition describes it as "the most untamable of all the equines."

The energy attributed to this year is not subtle. It is a cycle of movement, bold decisions, and the breaking of old structures. Eastern astrological traditions consider it a period conducive to starting projects, making deep changes, and abandoning what no longer serves. But they also warn: the double fire demands discipline to avoid burning out in the impulse.

The fire horse does not ask for caution. It asks for direction. Force without course is mere destruction. Force with clarity is transformation.

1966: the last time the fire horse touched the earth

What makes the fire horse fascinating is not just its symbolism. It is its measurable impact on history.

In 1966, Japan recorded a 25% drop in its birth rate. There was no war, no famine, no epidemic. There was a belief. The hinoeuma (丙午) superstition holds that women born in a fire horse year will be stubborn, untamable, and bring misfortune to their husbands. Without technology to determine a baby's sex before birth, thousands of families chose not to have children that year. Approximately 463,000 fewer births than expected.

The origin of the superstition traces back to the Edo period (1603-1868), when Ihara Saikaku's 1686 novel popularized the story of Yaoya Oshichi, a young woman born in a hinoeuma year who was executed for arson. Fiction merged with popular belief and survived centuries. In 1906, the previous hinoeuma, a birth rate drop was also registered. In 1846, the one before that, the same.

The verifiable data: The 1966 birth rate drop in Japan is documented in World Bank data and Japan's Statistics Bureau records. It is visible as a notch in the Japanese population pyramid. Research published in the Journal of Biosocial Science confirms that induced abortion rates rose significantly that year, and later studies showed that women born in 1966 faced measurable disadvantages in income and educational outcomes, likely due to discrimination. It is a documented case of how a collective belief produces real demographic effects.

It is worth noting: the hinoeuma superstition is specifically Japanese, not Chinese. In Chinese astrology, the fire horse is associated with intensity, charisma, and momentum, not catastrophe. The same symbol, read from two cultures, produces opposite meanings. That in itself is revealing.

Time as spiral, not line

What the sexagenary cycle proposes is something Western cultures lost somewhere along the way: the idea that time does not advance, it turns. That there are inherent qualities to certain moments of the cycle. That not all years are interchangeable.

You don't need to believe it literally to find value in the proposition. The 60-year cycle coincides with a full human lifespan. In Japan, the 60th birthday is celebrated as kanreki (還暦): the return of the calendar, the moment when you have lived through all possible combinations and begin again. In Korea there is hwangap (환갑), the same celebration. The message is clear: at 60 you do not grow old, you complete a cycle.

This way of reading time does not contradict science. It complements it. Neuroscience knows that circadian rhythms, seasons, and lunar cycles affect human physiology in measurable ways. The idea that longer cycles also influence the collective psyche is not pseudoscience: it is a hypothesis that cultures have explored for millennia with their own tools of observation.

At Dynamis, we work from the premise that traditions which have measured time in cycles for thousands of years deserve attention, not blind devotion. The fire horse is not a prophecy. It is an invitation to ask yourself: what structures need to move in your life? What have you postponed out of excess caution? Where do you need to gallop? The fire horse ceremony at La Maloca was our way of honoring this transition: a space where ancestral wisdom is lived in the body, not just in the head.

Galloping with direction

The fire horse does not ask you to believe in Chinese astrology. It does not ask you to consult your sign or change your financial decisions. It asks something simpler and harder: that you move.

That you recognize the places where fear has replaced action. That you distinguish between genuine prudence and paralysis disguised as good sense. That you understand there are moments for reflection (the 2025 year of the wood snake was that) and moments for action. This is a moment for action.

But action with direction. The double fire can illuminate or consume. The difference lies in intention. In clarity. In knowing where you are galloping before you release the reins.

Welcome to the year of the fire horse. It will not return until 2086.

Explore our upcoming events and ceremonies

Discover La Maloca: the ceremonial space at Dynamis

Frequently asked questions

What exactly is the fire horse?

It is combination number 43 of the Chinese sexagenary cycle, where the horse animal (seventh sign, fixed element fire) coincides with the year's yang fire element. It is the only zodiac combination where the animal's fixed element and the year's element are the same in their yang form, producing what is called "double fire." It occurs every 60 years.

When was the last time and when will the next be?

The last time was 1966. The current cycle began on February 17, 2026 and extends until February 5, 2027. The next year of the fire horse will be 2086.

Is the hinoeuma superstition still active?

It is primarily Japanese, not Chinese. Researchers anticipate its impact in 2026 will be minimal compared to 1966, given that arranged marriages dropped from 70% in the 1940s to just 5% by 2010, and prenatal sex determination is now standard. However, the phenomenon demonstrates that cultural beliefs can have real demographic effects.

Do I need to "believe" in Chinese astrology for this to be relevant?

No. The value of the sexagenary cycle does not depend on literal belief. It is a time-reading system with over 2,700 years of continuous use that proposes something valuable: that time has qualities, not just quantity. You can take it as an invitation to introspection without needing to accept it as a predictive system.

Does Dynamis work with Chinese astrology?

Dynamis works with multiple wisdom traditions that read natural cycles as markers of transformation. We do not practice Chinese astrology as a consultation system. We use these moments (solstices, equinoxes, lunar cycles, zodiacal transitions) as opportunities for ceremonies that invite reflection and inner movement. La Maloca is the space where these ceremonies come to life.

References and sources:

World Bank. (2024). "The curse of the Fire-Horse: How superstition impacted fertility rates in Japan." World Bank Blogs: Open Data.

Kaku, K., & Matsumoto, Y.S. (1975). Increased induced abortion rate in 1966, an aspect of a Japanese folk superstition. Annals of Human Biology, 2(2), 111-115.

Ihara, S. (1686). Kōshoku gonin onna [Five Women Who Loved Love]. Edo Period, Japan.

Lic. Patricio Espinoza, MBA.

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Lic. Patricio Espinoza, MBA.